Prediction of Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Sebastian Sorger at Bad Waltersdorf Challenger 09-18-25
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 17 Sep at 09:58 PM UTC
Carreno-Busta is scheduled to play Sorger on 18 Sep Thu at 03:05 PM UTC in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger, Second round.
HEAD TO HEAD
P. Carreno-Busta vs S. Sorger
Pablo Carreno-Busta
ESP
w
l
w
l
w
w
l
l
w
w
0
Win
0
Played
0
Win
34
Age
19
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
-
125
C. Rank
632
10
Best Rank
587
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$10.7M
Career Money
$0
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Sebastian Sorger
AUT
w
l
w
w
w
l
w
l
l
w
0
Win
0
Played
0
Win
34
Age
19
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
-
125
C. Rank
632
10
Best Rank
587
0
Total Titles
0
0
Ytd Titles
0
$10.7M
Career Money
$0
Right-Handed
Plays
-
P. Carreno-Busta Vs S. Sorger Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 85.57% chance to get the victory. Login / Register to find out our expert prediction.
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To Win
| Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| P. Carreno-Busta | 85.57% | 1.13 |
| S. Sorger | 14.43% | 6.7 |
Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.
Head-To-Head: Carreno-Busta 0 - 0 Sorger
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Carreno-Busta | 0 |
| Sorger | 0 |
Last H2H Matches:
No past h2h event happened.
P. Carreno-Busta Vs S. Sorger Best Odds
1x2
W1
1.13W2
6.7P. Carreno-Busta vs S. Sorger H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $10,687,070 | Career Prize Money | $0 |
| 63.16% (600-350) | Career Total W/L | 59.18% (145-100) |
| 32 | Titles | 1 |
| 38.10% (8-13) | YTD Win/Loss | 0% (0-0) |
P. Carreno-Busta vs S. Sorger Match Preview
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 44.94% of points on their second serve, while Sebastian Sorger has won 43.65%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Pablo Carreno-Busta, in recent form, has won 45.31% of their opponent's second serve points, while Sebastian Sorger has won 49.19%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.89% and 34.68% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 56.23% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sebastian Sorger has saved 46.54% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 53.45% of matches played (W/L 31/ 27), with Sebastian Sorger winning 61.22% (W/L 31/ 19) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 354/ 185), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/ 14). Sebastian Sorger has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 62% (W/L 44/ 27), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 58% (W/L 101/ 73).
- Player level: In the last year, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 73.08% of matches (W/L 19/ 7), where as Sebastian Sorger has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 62.79% of matches (W/L 27/ 16). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against opponents with an average rank of 162.22 while Sebastian Sorger has played against players with an average rank of 369.2.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 35% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sebastian Sorger has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 30.14% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sebastian Sorger has converted 41.51% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Sebastian Sorger Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
P. Carreno-Busta Vs S. Sorger Current Event Stats
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matches Played | 1 |
| 2:16:47 | Last Match Time | 2:36:09 |
| 2:16:47 | Total Time | 2:36:09 |
| 50% (3/6) | Break Points Saved | 44% (4/9) |
| 80% (12/15) | Service Hold % | 69% (11/16) |
| 73% (11/15) | Opponent Hold % | 63% (10/16) |
| 0% (0/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in Bad Waltersdorf Challenger.
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Carreno-Busta 52%, Sorger 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Carreno-Busta 54%, Sorger 56%.
Break Points Saved %: Carreno-Busta 62%, Sorger 53%.
P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bad Waltersdorf Challenger - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R1 Lukas NeumayerL. Neumayer | W | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, ESP-DEN 3-2 - 08-09-2025 | ||||
Rubber 5  Elmer MollerE. Moller | W | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Rubber 1 Holger RuneH. Rune | L | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Seville Challenger - 01-09-2025 | ||||
QF  Dusan LajovicD. Lajovic | L | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
R2 Javier Barranco CosanoJ. Barranco | W | 6-3 6-2 | ||
S. Sorger Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Waltersdorf Challenger - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R1  Jozef KovalikJ. Kovalik | W | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tulln Challenger - 01-09-2025 | ||||
Q1 Dennis NovakD. Novak | L | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | ||
| M25 Maribor - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R2  Andrej NedicA. Nedic | L | 6-4 6-1 | ||
R1  Matic DimicM. Dimic | W | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| M25 Maribor - 18-08-2025 | ||||
SF  Sean CueninS. Cuenin | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Where To Watch Carreno-Busta Vs Sorger?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Carreno-Busta Vs Sorger is now available here.
P. Carreno-Busta vs S. Sorger Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 65.68% (354/185) | YTD Win/Loss | 58.05% (101/73) |
| 62.02% (805/493) | Sets Win/Loss | 56.68% (229/175) |
| 54.37% (6652/5582) | Games Win/Loss | 53.64% (1981/1712) |
| 0.2 | Aces Per Game | 0.08 |
| 1217 | Aces Total | 140 |
| 0.11 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.16 |
| 673 | Total Double Faults | 285 |
| 1:10:46 | Average Match Time | 1:33:56 |
| 533.68 | Average Opponent Rank | 429.95 |
| 62% (16996/27284) | 1st Serve % | 72% (7376/10239) |
| 69% (11743/16996) | 1st Serve Win % | 61% (4528/7376) |
| 51% (5271/10288) | 2nd Serve Win % | 51% (1456/2863) |
| 43% (1254/2939) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 47% (614/1297) |
| 41% (11539/28149) | Return Points Win % | 45% (4855/10766) |
| 66% (328/498) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 57% (96/169) |
| 63% (22/35) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 59% (105/179) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 42% (10/24) |
| 59% (104/177) | Deciding Set Win % | 46% (27/59) |
| 90% (327/294) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (102/85) |
| 10% (327/32) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (102/17) |
| 28% (212/60) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 21% (72/15) |
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Potential H2H Matches This Week
Carreno-Busta (Bad Waltersdorf Challenger)
Baena vs Carreno-BustaCould play in The Semifinals
Kopp vs Carreno-BustaCould play in The Semifinals
Barton vs Carreno-BustaCould play in The Semifinals
Acosta vs Carreno-BustaCould play in The Semifinals
Carreno-Busta vs KoprivaCould play in The Quarterfinals
Sorger (Bad Waltersdorf Challenger)
Baena vs SorgerCould play in The Semifinals
Kopp vs SorgerCould play in The Semifinals
Barton vs SorgerCould play in The Semifinals
Acosta vs SorgerCould play in The Semifinals
Sorger vs KoprivaCould play in The Quarterfinals
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